Syrian Rebels Push Toward Homs as Government Defenses Crumble

Homs, Syria: Syrian rebels advanced rapidly on Saturday, reaching the outskirts of Homs, the country’s third-largest city, as government forces scrambled to shore up collapsing frontlines. The swift gains have left President Bashar al-Assad’s regime struggling to maintain control, threatening his 24-year rule amid widespread rebel victories.

Nationwide Advances

The rebels’ offensive, which began with the capture of Aleppo a week ago, has triggered a cascade of defeats for government forces:

• North: Aleppo fell, marking a significant loss for Assad’s regime.
• Center: Hama and Deir al-Zor have been taken.
• South: Rebels claim to have seized Suweida and Deraa, with videos showing celebrations in both cities.

The Syrian military acknowledged airstrikes around Hama and Homs and repositioning efforts near Deraa and Suweida, though it did not confirm the loss of the latter two cities.

Regional and Global Implications

The rapid rebel advances have alarmed Arab capitals and Western governments, who fear the potential for heightened regional instability. Syria’s civil war, which began in 2011 as a popular uprising, has drawn in numerous external powers and created conditions for extremist groups to thrive. Millions of refugees have already fled to neighboring countries, exacerbating humanitarian crises across the region.

Assad’s Diminished Support

Assad has relied heavily on foreign allies to sustain his rule:

• Russia: Moscow’s air support has been critical, but its focus has shifted to the war in Ukraine since 2022.
• Iran: Tehran’s allied militias, including Lebanon’s Hezbollah, have played a major role, but their strength has been eroded. Hezbollah has faced leadership losses in its own conflict with Israel this year.

On Friday, Russia urged its citizens to leave Syria, and Iran began evacuating the families of its diplomats.

Future Outlook

With rebels gaining momentum and the Assad regime on the defensive, the balance of power in Syria is rapidly shifting. The unfolding events could mark a turning point in the 12-year-long conflict, potentially redrawing alliances and altering the geopolitical landscape in the Middle East.